This screenshot was sent to me this morning:
Of course, I didn’t post that! My account was spoofed! Folks, be mindful of what is going on with your social media accounts. It looks like the same tactics used by Project Birmingham are being deployed in this election as well. It’s early! Moore hasn’t even announced he’s running yet.
Keep your accounts secure!
With the emergence of Roy Moore in 2019 as a front runner for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Alabama, I thought I would list some post that I made during the interim between election cycles.
Many of you still haven’t heard about Project Birmingham and how this misinformation campaign affected the 2017 Special Election. Here are some post to get you started:
The other night, I was watching Fox News’ Sean Hannity interviewing Senator Lindsey Graham about the recent Special Council Report that reportedly exonerates President Trump of any Russian collusion during the 2016 Election.
As I watched it, I couldn’t help but to recall how Graham’s status as a conservative has been elevated to the point that he is now this great defender of the cause ever since his emotional outburst during the Kavanaugh hearings last summer. I remembered how Graham and other republican senators took a measured position of presumed innocence during the allegations of sexual assault against Brett Kavanaugh. Republicans in the senate did something unusual when a fellow republican was under attack, they actually defended them.
Let’s go back to that pivotal day in the Alabama Special Election for U.S. Senate back in 2017, November 9th. This, as we all know, is the date that the Washington Post broke a story that alleged Senate Republican nominee, Roy Moore sexually assaulted teenage girls almost four decades earlier. Allegations that were strikingly similar to those made against Trump’s Supreme Court Nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, almost one year later.
Unlike Kavanaugh, Moore’s defenders in DC were few and far between, if at all during his hour of persecution. Let’s take a moment to revisit how quickly the senate turned its back on Roy Moore and how unified it was when doing so.
Look at this article that was published on Nov 10th, 2017. Just one day after the WaPo story broke the allegations. The headline reads, NRSC exits fund raising agreement with Roy Moore’s campaign. The speed in which the National Republican Senate Committee abandoned Moore is astounding. Did the committee act solely in response to the November 9th Washington Post article or did they have some advanced notice that this story was about to break? Why didn’t the committee consider the other side of the allegations, Judge Roy Moore’s side, before they quickly dropped financial support?
Now look at this article and how it presents a litany of statements from Sen. Cory Gardner, Sen. John McCain, Sen. Luther Strange, Sen. John Thune, Sen. Richard Shelby, Sen. Jeff Flake all republicans, and all but one use the phrase “if the allegations are true” or similar language to qualify their statements of concern about Moore getting elected with this cloud over him. These statements were made on November 9th, 2017, just hours after the allegations were published by WaPo! Were these republican senators aware of these allegations beforehand? Why did they all fail to give Roy Moore the presumption of innocence that he was due? The same presumption of innocence that was given to Brett Kavanaugh?
The irony of this is that if Lindsey Graham or any other senator would have stood up for Roy Moore back in 2017, in the same manner that they stood up for Kavanaugh in 2018, there most likely would have been one less democrat there to vote against Kavanaugh and the left might have deemed it futile to hijack the SCOTUS hearings at the eleventh hour!
I welcome your comments below.
Recently, I read a politico.com article that quotes Senator Doug Jones as saying, “let’s just do it again” when responding to Roy Moore’s claim that the Alabama Special Election was stolen from him back in 2017.
Senator Jones’ response is an interesting one given what we know about what occurred in Alabama during the Fall of 2017. I think it would be virtually impossible to just do 2017 again. Here are a few reasons why:
- The ballot will not be the same as 2017.
- The next election cycle in Alabama will have President Trump at the top of the ballot. Remember, 62% of Alabamians that voted in 2016, voted for Trump. Don’t discount the straight party vote. In my view, this gives a republican at least a 10 point advantage even if all things are equal.
- The Special Election of 2017 was a binary choice between Doug Jones and Roy Moore. Another way to describe this would be to use the word, “referendum.” The 2020 ballot will list several national, state and local elections that will attract voters to the polls for many different reasons.
2. The 2020 Alabama U.S. Senate Race will be harder to manipulate.
- Binary elections are easier to manipulate since you are dealing with a specific choice. In 2017, the disinformation campaign known as “Project Birmingham,” convinced a large portion of Alabama voters that Roy Moore was a pedophile. The choice among those influenced by Project Birmingham became, Doug Jones or a pedophile. Yes, there were candidates written in, but I believe the 20,000 or so that wrote in a candidate were eclipsed by republicans that just crossed over and voted for Jones. I estimate anywhere from 65,000 to 100,000 republicans voted for Jones.
- Alabama voters have been made aware of manipulation attempts since 2017. I predict in 2020, any strange or negative social media activity related to conservative candidates in Alabama will be presumed, rightly or not, to be disinformation.
- Remember, Project Birmingham actually touted the fact that no media outlets reported of their existence during the 2017 campaign. This is a key reason that they succeeded at taking out Roy Moore. 2020 will be different, voters will be wary of their tactics.
3. Hard Rs will increase as a result of Project Birmingham.
- In 2017, over 650,000 Alabama voters voted for Moore. This was after he was branded as a pedophile! Project Birmingham called these voters “Hard Rs.” These were voters that were not swayed by allegations of sexual assault against Moore and will love nothing better than to return to the polls again in 2020 and vote the same way again.
- The Hard R number may very well increase due to the backlash that Alabama voters will exhibit as a result of being duped by Project Birmingham. We could see that 650,000 increase to more than 750,000. This estimate doesn’t reflect the straight party voters that would not have shown up in 2017. I’m predicting that anywhere from 650,000 to 750,000 may turn out to vote for Roy Moore in the 2020 primary should he decide to run.
This is iron bowl country! Alabamians would love a rematch between Jones and Moore. Especially if they believe they were duped in 2017.
The question I’m asking is, will Judge Moore run in 2020 and if not, which republican will get his endorsement?
Comment below and let me know what you think!
In my last post, I left you with the expectation that I was looking into if the Federal Election Commission was doing anything regarding Attorney General Marshall’s formal request that Project Birmingham be investigated by the FEC.
Since no other news outlet is reporting on this at the moment, I thought my readers would at least like to know whether or not the FEC is in fact looking into this matter. I recently sent a request for information to the FEC and they replied quickly. FEC Deputy Press Officer, Christian Hilland, responded with the pasted text below.
A provision of federal campaign finance law requires that any Commission action on an enforcement matter be kept strictly confidential until the case is resolved. Therefore, to comply with this provision and to protect the interests of those involved in an enforcement case that is before the agency or on a matter that has the potential to come to the agency, we are unable to comment.
Potential violations of federal campaign finance law may be brought to the Commission’s attention through the complaint process. This process enables anyone to file a sworn complaint alleging violations and explaining the basis for the allegations. A description of the complaint process is available here. Each complaint is reviewed on a case-by-case basis, and therefore, the length of every case will vary.
Note that a vote of at least four Commissioners is needed at every stage, including whether to (1) find reason to believe and initiate an investigation, (2) find probable cause that a violation has occurred or is about to occur, (3) settle a matter, or (4) authorize filing a lawsuit. If there are not four votes at any stage, the Commission will not proceed to the next step of the process.
Okay, I’m going to take that as a yes. The FEC is currently investigating Project Birmingham. I wonder if the media outlets, that reported to have documents from the September and December 2017 meetings, are cooperating?
I welcome your comments and invite you to follow via email below.
It was such an honor to be a guest on Sandy Rios in the Morning! She was such a great host and I have a great deal of respect for her and what she has accomplished in her career as a broadcaster. As a guest on her show, I was not only honored but also excited that I was able to have a platform to discuss Project Birmingham. See my original post that prompted this interview.
This audio clip above is the podcast of the radio show that aired on Febuary 8th, 2019.
This was my first time appearing on a national stage as a guest. I can say that answering questions on a radio show with timed segments is most certainly a different experience than asking my own questions to others on my podcast with unlimited time. I want to address in more detail some of her questions, as well as my answers, from the interview that time, (or my veering off topic) wouldn’t permit me to answer.
Before I go any further, I want to welcome any visitors that may have come here as a result of Sandy’s show! I would like invite you all of follow this blog via email, subscribe to the podcast on iTunes or Google Play, or follow on social media.
First, let me explain the Google search terms I was referencing toward the end of the interview. You see, if you look at the leaked after action report, you will see that one of the highlights they touted was that Doug Jones’ prosecution of the KKK was emphasized in order to attract black voters. Searching for Doug Jones wins primary will return articles from the August 15th primary where the mainstream media all mention Jones as being a former U.S. prosecutor who prosecuted the suspects in the Birmingham Church bombings. Doug Jones KKK will render articles that use different phrasing when introducing Doug Jones.
After September 27th, Jones is referred to as “Doug Jones, who prosecuted the KKK.” The latter search renders articles published just after the Republican runoff when the race became a match up between Jones and Moore. It is clear to me that the main stream media outlets all started emphasizing that Jones prosecuted the KKK after the September meeting, just as Project Birmingham intended. This is not to imply anything negative about Jones and this great work of putting those Democratic terrorist behind bars, it is simply a method I devised to test the authenticity of the leaked documents.
Do your part to help get the truth out there. Share this page on your social media.
Second, I want to give a better answer to that final question Sandy asked in her interview. Basically, I’ve discovered a few myths that the media are propagating about Moore and Project Birmingham. Let me list three that I should have mentioned to Sandy.
Myth 1. Project Birmingham didn’t really affect the outcome of the 2017 Special Election in Alabama.
Go back and look at the turnout numbers in the August primary and the December general. (I did actually talk about this in the interview) You will see that for every one Democrat that votes in the primary, four voted in the general on December 12th, 2017. That is huge! Don’t be misled by the 22,000 margin of victory for Jones. The fact that the Democrats made it past 40 percentage points is enough to make an Alabama liberal stare at the ceiling with upward clasped hands next to their “holiday tree.”
Myth 2. The most controversial thing Project Birmingham did was produce the false flag by using Russian-like Twitter accounts to follow Moore .
This is a distraction from the real cause of Judge Moore’s defeat, the allegations of sexual misconduct. Twitter is inconsequential to most Alabama voters and this didn’t amount to a hill of beans. The only thing that moved the needle in the polling were the allegations that starting coming after November 9th, this was one day after a poll had Moore up by eleven points. While I can’t definitively claim that Project Birmingham was behind the allegations, there is evidence that the project, which reports say involved Fusion GPS, was working in Alabama during the time the Washington Post reporters were trying to convince the accusers to come forward. I discuss this in more detail during the interview but just remember not to be distracted by the Twitter nonsense. The eight hundred pound gorilla is the allegations and if they are a product of Project Birmingham, not some cryptic twitter accounts that had no effect.
Myth 3. Roy Moore was a weak candidate.
This one really chaps me every time I hear it. How can you say Moore was weak when he beat Luther Strange, the most well funded candidate Alabama has ever seen? Strange was also endorsed by President Trump. A weak candidate would have never had made it past the primaries. Also, give me one person that can be successfully branded as a pedophile in the media, have little or no support from the National Republican Party, and still lose by only 22,000 votes? I wonder how this election would have turned out if just one senator in DC stood up and fought back for Moore like they did Brett Kavanaugh a year later. It was Roy against the world back in 2017 and the world only won by 1.7 percent.
Finally, I want to update my readers on the investigation of Project Birmingham itself. I mentioned in the interview with Ms. Rios that Alabama’s attorney general was looking into this. Yesterday, I received an email from that office with a copy of the letter that indicates this has been deferred to the Federal Election Commission.2019-01-04 fec letter
Deer Stand Hill will be following up with the FEC for updates so be sure to enter your email address on this page to see where this goes from here.
Before I go, I want to mention a couple of sources here that I don’t think I’ve credited enough. Jack Posobiec at One America News made the video below.
The leaked documents from the December “After Action” report were posted by Jeff Giesea. Jeff’s post is what got me started down this road. Ya’ll stay with me and let’s see where all of this leads.
I welcome your comments below. Again, I invite you all to subscribe as well.
I wanted to write a follow up to my prior post, where I listed what I thought were questionable circumstances surrounding Project Birmingham and how the leaked documents show possible coordination between the project and the media attacks on Roy Moore during the 2017 Special Election in Alabama.
I’m focusing this post on what I like to call the eight hundred pound gorilla in the room, the allegations of sexual assault made against Moore beginning on November 9th, 2017. In my view, and according to the polls at the time, no other attacks against Moore damaged his double digit lead over Doug Jones like those allegations did. Prior to November 9th, 2017, Judge Moore enjoyed an 11 point lead over Jones and even remained in the single digits for a time after The Washington Post article.
Given what we know about Project Birmingham, and the allegations that are still just… well… allegations, that gorilla may be even bigger than we know.
I went back and read the original article that was published on November 9th in The Washington Post. I also studied the leaked documents from Project Birmingham’s December “After Action” meeting. In addition, I took another look at a recent article and listened to a podcast that NPR has published.
In light of these things, allow me to give you my ideas about why I think there is a possibility that the allegations of sexual assault made against Judge Moore during the Special Election could be connected with Project Birmingham.
Based on what we can glean from the leaked documents, Project Birmingham acknowledged at least twice that the allegations affected their “experiment” as well being detrimental to the outcome of election. An outcome that ended up exactly as the project intended.
The above image is part of the leaked documents from the December 15th, 2017 “After Action” meeting held by Project Birmingham members and associates. Notice the second bullet point in the image. They mention the “Wapo Report” and how they “provided major news outlets” with data that indicated “anti-Moore articles were popular.” Also notice that they provided this information to the media “Prior to the WaPo report on Moore’s alleged child molestation.”
Now take a look at another leaked document from the December 15th meeting. This one is a timeline that shows what actions were taken and when.
You can see in this above timeline that October, the month that the writers of the November 9th Wapo article were in Alabama working on a story about Moore supporters, is also the month that Project Birmingham experimented “with tactics to push narratives from one social media platform to another and ultimately into the press.”
These documents show me that the project was definitely shaped by the November 9th Wapo hit piece and actions were adjusted accordingly after it was published. Notice in the timeline again how they pushed the write in candidate in December just before the election and after the allegations have been published. Promoting a write in was far more effective after the public had been fed a litany of disgusting accusations against Moore. Republicans would have been far more likely to look elsewhere for a candidate in December than October.
We do know from the recent reporting that Project Birmingham members claim to have also acted as “media advisors,” where they arraigned interviews between the write in candidate they were promoting and the media.
Now that we have this information, isn’t all reporting that occurred during this election suspicious? Especially from The Washington Post? I tend to think so.
I welcome your comments below.
By now, you have all heard of Project Birmingham, the disinformation campaign, aimed at preventing Roy Moore from winning the Alabama Special Election for U.S. Senate back in twenty seventeen.
I took particular interest in this story when it broke a few weeks ago. As you know, I covered that election more thorough than most since it was the only one going on at the time and I was able to focus my limited time blogging and podcasting (blogcasting) about it.
I consider myself to be somewhat of an expert on this election. At least an expert when it comes to knowing what transpired and when. I attended multiple rallies, including the one at the train station in downtown Montgomery where Moore appeared after his debate against Big Luther Strange. The atmosphere at that one was electric. A long list of nationally known pols were there. Names like Bannon and Palin spoke to the most fired up crowds that any politician saw in Alabama that year. There was a huge gathering of national press in attendance as well. I was there with my iPhone and monopod trying to capture what I could with what little battery life I had left on my device.
I was unable to attend the September 26th election night watch party where after a long road of running against a Trump-endorsed, McConnell-funded, Bentley-appointed Luther Strange, Roy Moore was finally on the downhill stretch to being elected to the United States Senate.
While I couldn’t attend every event, I could follow this election daily via news stories posted to the web and social media. When Moore won the primary, I correctly predicted he would win the runoff on September 26th. After that, it was supposed to be a no brainer. After all, Steve Flowers, the premier political columnist in Alabama, had said to me repeatedly on my podcast, “In Alabama, winning the Republican nomination is tantamount to winning the election.” Steve is usually right about that.
It was a given that Roy Moore was going to beat that democrat. What’s his name? Oh yes, Doug Jones.
Little did I know at the time, what I thought was a campaign coasting its way to victory, was actually a sitting duck about to get hit with the modern political version of a thermo nuclear bomb.
As I write this, all we know is there was a meeting in Washington DC in September of 2017 where the plan was hatched to take out Moore and create a path to victory for Doug Jones. (Correction) There was no meeting in September of 2017. The meeting referenced in the NPR interview linked above occurred in September 2018 in Washington D.C. The “experiment” was executed and then the group met after the election on December 15th to see what worked and how.
I read these reports linked above and looked over the leaked documents from the December meeting.
I’m left with more questions than answers after looking at all of this. A few questions are:
- Why did they “seed” the #NoMoore hashtag in September and not #NoStrange when the runoff wasn’t held until September 26th? Were they anticipating that Strange was going to lose or just out to get Roy Moore from the get go?
- Why is The Washington Post trying to be out front and center with their reporting of Project Birmingham when this thing has WaPo fingerprints all over it? Specifically David Weigal’s prints. Weigal is mentioned in this article and wrote another on September 27th, the day following Moore’s nomination, where he is among the first writers in the bunch to drive the narrative about Doug Jones prosecuting the KKK. Project Birmingham wanted to increase turnout among black voters by driving home that point and all of the media were more than happy to go along with it. Weigal appears to have either been the most eager to publish or first to get the memo from the project.
- Was the November 9th WaPo story, the first of the allegations against Moore, connected with Project Birmingham? We know from the leaked documents that someone with the project reached out to major media organizations and presented data to show that Anti-Moore content was popular and lucrative. Did someone at the project reach out to Stephanie McCrummen in the same manner as was done with David Weigal? McCrummen wrote that she met with Moore accusers for three weeks before they finally agreed to go public. This would put her in Alabama circa October 19th. According to the leaked “After Action” documents, Project Birmingham was “experimenting, in October, with tactics to push narratives from one social platform to another and ultimately into press.” Was McCrummen’s story “pushed” to her from the project? The allegations have yet to be proven and Moore has recently taken a lie detector test that indicates he is telling the truth.
I’m calling on the media outlets that have the documents from both the September and December meetings of Project Birmingham to release them to the public! There is no reason to hold on to them unless they want to protect an ally or even one of their own. I’m continuing to watch this story and will update this post as more information becomes available.